🇨🇴 Colombia 1–0 Ghana 🇬🇭 2026 · live

2026 World Cup · Round of 32. Result scored against the Elo→Poisson model. tournament · tables

value €302M · value #21 · Elo #7

1–0Colombia win

value €234M · value #25 · Elo #46

Model P(result)

86.3%

model probability of the observed score

Upset index

0.21

−log₂ P(observed)

Elo gap

429

2004 vs 1575

Stage

Round of 32

2026 World Cup