🏴󠁧󠁢󠁥󠁮󠁧󠁿 England 2–1 DR Congo 🇨🇩 2026 · live

2026 World Cup · Round of 32. Result scored against the Elo→Poisson model. tournament · tables

value €1358M · value #2 · Elo #4

2–1England win

value €144M · value #32 · Elo #37

Model P(result)

78.7%

model probability of the observed score

Upset index

0.35

−log₂ P(observed)

Elo gap

326

2038 vs 1712

Stage

Round of 32

2026 World Cup