🇧🇦 Bosnia and Herzegovina 3–1 Qatar 🇶🇦 2026 · live

2026 World Cup · Group. Result scored against the Elo→Poisson model. tournament · tables

value €146M · value #31 · Elo #40

3–1Bosnia and Herzegovina win

value €20M · value #48 · Elo #48

Model P(result)

59.6%

model probability of the observed score

Upset index

0.75

−log₂ P(observed)

Elo gap

159

1596 vs 1437

Stage

Group

2026 World Cup