🇧🇦 Bosnia and Herzegovina 3–1 Qatar 🇶🇦 2026 · live
2026 World Cup · Group. tournament · tables
3–1 Bosnia and Herzegovina win
🇶🇦 Qatar value €20M · value #48 · Elo #48
Akram Afif €8M Almoez Ali €2M Edmilson Junior €2M
Goals
Bosnia and Herzegovina ▲ Qatar ▼ 0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90' Kerim Alajbegović 29' 29 Alajbegović Mahmud Abunada 34' (o.g.) 34 Abunada Ermin Mahmić 80' 80 Mahmić Hassan Al-Haydos 42' 42 Al-Haydos
🇧🇦 Bosnia and Herzegovina
Starting line-ups
List Pitch
🇧🇦 Bosnia and Herzegovina
🇧🇦 Bosnia and Herzegovina
Nikola Vasilj · GK 1 Vasilj Nikola Katić · CB 18 Katić Stjepan Radeljić · CB 21 Radeljić Arjan Malić · RB 24 Malić Sead Kolašinac · LB 5 Kolašinac Ivan Bašić · CM 13 Bašić Ivan Šunjić · CM 14 Šunjić Kerim Alajbegović · LM 19 Alajbegović Esmir Bajraktarević · RM 20 Bajraktarević Ermedin Demirović · CF 10 Demirović Edin Džeko · CF 11 Džeko 🇶🇦 Qatar
Mahmud Abunada · GK 1 Abunada Boualem Khoukhi · CB 16 Khoukhi Sultan Al-Brake · LB 18 Al-Brake Pedro Miguel · RB 2 Miguel Issa Laye · CB 4 Laye Hassan Al-Haydos · LF 10 Al-Haydos Karim Boudiaf · CM 12 Boudiaf Ahmed Fathy · DM 20 Fathy Jassem Gaber · CM 5 Gaber Edmilson Junior · RF 8 Junior Akram Afif · CF 11 Afif
Players sit in vertical bands (GK · defence · midfield · attack) by their listed position — no
left/right placement is inferred. Order within a band is squad-sheet order, not a formation.
Pre-match model (Elo→Poisson, 90-min W/D/L)
🇧🇦 Bosnia and Herzegovina 59.6% draw 23.6% 16.8% Qatar 🇶🇦
Model P(result)
59.6%
P of the observed 90-min outcome
Upset rank
#327
of 487 · −log₂ P
Upset index
0.75
−log₂ P(observed)
Bosnia and Herzegovina's run D 🇨🇦 1–1 Canada, Group L 🇨🇭 1–4 Switzerland, Group W 🇶🇦 3–1 Qatar, Group L 🇺🇸 0–2 United States, Round of 32
Qatar's run D 🇨🇭 1–1 Switzerland, Group L 🇨🇦 0–6 Canada, Group L 🇧🇦 1–3 Bosnia and Herzegovina, Group
Head-to-head at the World Cup No prior World Cup meetings.