🇧🇦 Bosnia and Herzegovina 3–1 Qatar 🇶🇦 2026 · live

2026 World Cup · Group. tournament · tables

🇧🇦 Bosnia and Herzegovina
value €146M · value #31 · Elo #40
  • Tarik Muharemović €25M
  • Ermedin Demirović €22M
  • Kerim Alajbegović €22M
3–1Bosnia and Herzegovina win
🇶🇦 Qatar
value €20M · value #48 · Elo #48
  • Akram Afif €8M
  • Almoez Ali €2M
  • Edmilson Junior €2M
Goals
Bosnia and Herzegovina ▲Qatar ▼0'15'30'45'60'75'90'Kerim Alajbegović 29'29AlajbegovićMahmud Abunada 34' (o.g.)34AbunadaErmin Mahmić 80'80MahmićHassan Al-Haydos 42'42Al-Haydos
🇧🇦 Bosnia and Herzegovina
🇶🇦 Qatar
Starting line-ups
Pre-match model (Elo→Poisson, 90-min W/D/L)
🇧🇦 Bosnia and Herzegovina 59.6%draw 23.6%16.8% Qatar 🇶🇦
Model P(result)
59.6%
P of the observed 90-min outcome
Upset rank
#327
of 487 · −log₂ P
Upset index
0.75
−log₂ P(observed)
Elo gap
159
1596 vs 1437

Bosnia and Herzegovina's run

  • D 🇨🇦 1–1 Canada, Group
  • L 🇨🇭 1–4 Switzerland, Group
  • W 🇶🇦 3–1 Qatar, Group
  • L 🇺🇸 0–2 United States, Round of 32

Qatar's run

  • D 🇨🇭 1–1 Switzerland, Group
  • L 🇨🇦 0–6 Canada, Group
  • L 🇧🇦 1–3 Bosnia and Herzegovina, Group

Head-to-head at the World Cup

  • No prior World Cup meetings.