🇺🇸 United States 2–0 Bosnia and Herzegovina 🇧🇦 2026 · live

2026 World Cup · Round of 32. Result scored against the Elo→Poisson model. tournament · tables

value €386M · value #17 · Elo #31

2–0United States win

value €146M · value #31 · Elo #40

Model P(result)

59.6%

model probability of the observed score

Upset index

0.75

−log₂ P(observed)

Elo gap

159

1781 vs 1622

Stage

Round of 32

2026 World Cup