🇨🇭 Switzerland 4–1 Bosnia and Herzegovina 🇧🇦 2026 · live

2026 World Cup · Group. Result scored against the Elo→Poisson model. tournament · tables

value €332M · value #20 · Elo #17

4–1Switzerland win

value €146M · value #31 · Elo #40

Model P(result)

70.9%

model probability of the observed score

Upset index

0.50

−log₂ P(observed)

Elo gap

249

1865 vs 1616

Stage

Group

2026 World Cup