🇨🇦 Canada 1–1 Bosnia and Herzegovina 🇧🇦 2026 · live

2026 World Cup · Group. Result scored against the Elo→Poisson model. tournament · tables

value €199M · value #26 · Elo #23

1–1draw

value €146M · value #31 · Elo #40

Model P(result)

22.2%

model probability of the observed score

Upset index

2.17

−log₂ P(observed)

Elo gap

193

1788 vs 1595

Stage

Group

2026 World Cup