🇨🇦 Canada 1–1 Bosnia and Herzegovina 🇧🇦 2026 · live

2026 World Cup · Group. tournament · tables

🇨🇦 Canada
value €199M · value #26 · Elo #23
  • Alphonso Davies €40M
  • Jonathan David €30M
  • Ismaël Koné €25M
1–1draw
🇧🇦 Bosnia and Herzegovina
value €146M · value #31 · Elo #40
  • Tarik Muharemović €25M
  • Ermedin Demirović €22M
  • Kerim Alajbegović €22M
Goals
Canada ▲Bosnia and Herzegovina ▼0'15'30'45'60'75'90'Cyle Larin 78'78LarinJovo Lukić 21'21Lukić
🇨🇦 Canada
🇧🇦 Bosnia and Herzegovina
Starting line-ups
Pre-match model (Elo→Poisson, 90-min W/D/L)
🇨🇦 Canada 64.1%draw 22.2%13.7% Bosnia and Herzegovina 🇧🇦
Model P(result)
22.2%
P of the observed 90-min outcome
Upset rank
#77
of 487 · −log₂ P
Upset index
2.17
−log₂ P(observed)
Elo gap
193
1788 vs 1595

Canada's run

  • D 🇧🇦 1–1 Bosnia and Herzegovina, Group
  • W 🇶🇦 6–0 Qatar, Group
  • L 🇨🇭 1–2 Switzerland, Group
  • W 🇿🇦 1–0 South Africa, Round of 32
  • L 🇲🇦 0–3 Morocco, Round of 16

Bosnia and Herzegovina's run

  • D 🇨🇦 1–1 Canada, Group
  • L 🇨🇭 1–4 Switzerland, Group
  • W 🇶🇦 3–1 Qatar, Group
  • L 🇺🇸 0–2 United States, Round of 32

Head-to-head at the World Cup

  • No prior World Cup meetings.