🇺🇸 United States 2–3 Turkey 🇹🇷 2026 · live

2026 World Cup · Group. Result scored against the Elo→Poisson model. tournament · tables

value €386M · value #17 · Elo #31

2–3Turkey win

value €474M · value #13 · Elo #13

🏆 Unofficial World Championship

This result transferred the unofficial title to Turkey.

Model P(result)

35.5%

model probability of the observed score

Upset index

1.49

−log₂ P(observed)

Elo gap

1820 vs 1813

Stage

Group

2026 World Cup