🇺🇸 United States 1–4 Belgium 🇧🇪 2026 · live
2026 World Cup · Round of 16. tournament · tables
🇺🇸 United States value €386M · value #17 · Elo #31
Christian Pulisic €40M Folarin Balogun €40M Weston McKennie €30M 1–4 Belgium win
🇧🇪 Belgium value €548M · value #10 · Elo #15
Jérémy Doku €75M Amadou Onana €45M Senne Lammens €35M Goals
United States ▲ Belgium ▼ 0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90' 105' 120' Malik Tillman 31' 31 Tillman Charles De Ketelaere 9' 9 Ketelaere Charles De Ketelaere 33' 33 Ketelaere Hans Vanaken 57' 57 Vanaken Romelu Lukaku 90+3' 93 Lukaku
Starting line-ups
List Pitch
🇺🇸 United States
Matt Freese · GK 24 Freese Tim Ream · CB 13 Ream Alex Freeman · CB 16 Freeman Chris Richards · CB 3 Richards Malik Tillman · CM 17 Tillman Sergiño Dest · RM 2 Dest Tyler Adams · CM 4 Adams Antonee Robinson · LM 5 Robinson Weston McKennie · CM 8 McKennie Christian Pulisic · CF 10 Pulisic Folarin Balogun · CF 20 Balogun 🇧🇪 Belgium
Thibaut Courtois · GK 1 Courtois Timothy Castagne · RB 21 Castagne Nathan Ngoy · CB 25 Ngoy Brandon Mechele · CB 4 Mechele Maxim De Cuyper · LB 5 Cuyper Nicolas Raskin · CM 23 Raskin Amadou Onana · CM 24 Onana Youri Tielemans · AM 8 Tielemans Leandro Trossard · LW 10 Trossard Dodi Lukébakio · RW 14 Lukébakio Charles De Ketelaere · CF 17 Ketelaere Players sit in vertical bands (GK · defence · midfield · attack) by their listed position — no
left/right placement is inferred. Order within a band is squad-sheet order, not a formation.
Pre-match model (Elo→Poisson, 90-min W/D/L)
🇺🇸 United States 21.8% draw 25.2% 53.0% Belgium 🇧🇪
Model P(result)
53.0%
P of the observed 90-min outcome
Upset rank
#283
of 487 · −log₂ P
Upset index
0.92
−log₂ P(observed)
United States's run W 🇵🇾 4–1 Paraguay, Group W 🇦🇺 2–0 Australia, Group L 🇹🇷 2–3 Turkey, Group W 🇧🇦 2–0 Bosnia and Herzegovina, Round of 32 L 🇧🇪 1–4 Belgium, Round of 16 Belgium's run D 🇪🇬 1–1 Egypt, Group D 🇮🇷 0–0 Iran, Group W 🇳🇿 5–1 New Zealand, Group W 🇸🇳 3–2 Senegal, Round of 32 W 🇺🇸 4–1 United States, Round of 16 L 🇪🇸 1–2 Spain, Quarter-final
Head-to-head at the World Cup