🇵🇾 Paraguay 1–0 Turkey 🇹🇷 2026 · live

2026 World Cup · Group. Result scored against the Elo→Poisson model. tournament · tables

value €154M · value #30 · Elo #20

1–0Paraguay win

value €474M · value #13 · Elo #13

Model P(result)

27.0%

model probability of the observed score

Upset index

1.89

−log₂ P(observed)

Elo gap

1780 vs 1849

Stage

Group

2026 World Cup