🇺🇸 United States 4–1 Paraguay 🇵🇾 2026 · live
2026 World Cup · Group. tournament · tables
🇺🇸 United States value €386M · value #17 · Elo #31
Christian Pulisic €40M Folarin Balogun €40M Weston McKennie €30M 4–1 United States win
🇵🇾 Paraguay value €154M · value #30 · Elo #20
Julio Enciso €25M Diego Gómez €25M Maurício €15M Goals
United States ▲ Paraguay ▼ 0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90' 105' 120' Damián Bobadilla 7' (o.g.) 7 Bobadilla Folarin Balogun 31' 31 Balogun Folarin Balogun 45+5' 50 Balogun Giovanni Reyna 90+8' 98 Reyna Maurício 73' 73 Maurício
Starting line-ups
List Pitch
🇺🇸 United States
Matt Freese · GK 24 Freese Tim Ream · CB 13 Ream Alex Freeman · RB 16 Freeman Chris Richards · CB 3 Richards Antonee Robinson · LB 5 Robinson Malik Tillman · CM 17 Tillman Tyler Adams · CM 4 Adams Weston McKennie · AM 8 McKennie Christian Pulisic · LW 10 Pulisic Sergiño Dest · RW 2 Dest Folarin Balogun · CF 20 Balogun 🇵🇾 Paraguay
Orlando Gill · GK 12 Gill Gustavo Gómez · CB 15 Gómez Omar Alderete · CB 3 Alderete Juan José Cáceres · RB 4 Cáceres Júnior Alonso · LB 6 Alonso Miguel Almirón · LM 10 Almirón Andrés Cubas · CM 14 Cubas Damián Bobadilla · CM 16 Bobadilla Diego Gómez · RM 8 Gómez Julio Enciso · CF 19 Enciso Antonio Sanabria · CF 9 Sanabria Players sit in vertical bands (GK · defence · midfield · attack) by their listed position — no
left/right placement is inferred. Order within a band is squad-sheet order, not a formation.
Pre-match model (Elo→Poisson, 90-min W/D/L)
🇺🇸 United States 22.3% draw 25.3% 52.4% Paraguay 🇵🇾
Model P(result)
22.3%
P of the observed 90-min outcome
Upset rank
#79
of 487 · −log₂ P
Upset index
2.17
−log₂ P(observed)
United States's run W 🇵🇾 4–1 Paraguay, Group W 🇦🇺 2–0 Australia, Group L 🇹🇷 2–3 Turkey, Group W 🇧🇦 2–0 Bosnia and Herzegovina, Round of 32 L 🇧🇪 1–4 Belgium, Round of 16 Paraguay's run L 🇺🇸 1–4 United States, Group W 🇹🇷 1–0 Turkey, Group D 🇦🇺 0–0 Australia, Group D 🇩🇪 1–1 Germany, Round of 32 L 🇫🇷 0–1 France, Round of 16
Head-to-head at the World Cup No prior World Cup meetings.