🇦🇺 Australia 1–1 Egypt 🇪🇬 2026 · live

2026 World Cup · Round of 32. Result scored against the Elo→Poisson model. tournament · tables

value €77M · value #36 · Elo #25

1–1draw

value €116M · value #34 · Elo #34

Model P(result)

26.5%

model probability of the observed score

Upset index

1.92

−log₂ P(observed)

Elo gap

1800 vs 1742

Stage

Round of 32

2026 World Cup