🇦🇺 Australia 1–1 Egypt 🇪🇬 2026 · live
2026 World Cup · Round of 32. tournament · tables
🇦🇺 Australia value €77M · value #36 · Elo #25
Jordan Bos €12M Alessandro Circati €12M Cristian Volpato €10M 1–1 draw
🇪🇬 Egypt value €116M · value #34 · Elo #34
Omar Marmoush €50M Mohamed Salah €22M Trézéguet €4M Goals
Australia ▲ Egypt ▼ 0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90' Mohamed Hany 55' (o.g.) 55 Hany Emam Ashour 13' 13 Ashour
Starting line-ups
List Pitch
🇦🇺 Australia
Patrick Beach · GK 18 Beach Harry Souttar · CB 19 Souttar Lucas Herrington · CB 25 Herrington Alessandro Circati · CB 3 Circati Aiden O'Neill · CM 13 O'Neill Aziz Behich · LM 16 Behich Cristian Volpato · RF 20 Volpato Jackson Irvine · CM 22 Irvine Jordan Bos · RM 5 Bos Connor Metcalfe · LF 8 Metcalfe Nestory Irankunda · CF 17 Irankunda 🇪🇬 Egypt
Mostafa Shobeir · GK 23 Shobeir Karim Hafez · LB 15 Hafez Yasser Ibrahim · CB 2 Ibrahim Mohamed Hany · RB 3 Hany Ramy Rabia · CB 5 Rabia Mostafa Ziko · LM 11 Ziko Hamdy Fathy · CM 14 Fathy Marwan Attia · CM 19 Attia Emam Ashour · RM 8 Ashour Mohamed Salah · CF 10 Salah Omar Marmoush · CF 22 Marmoush Players sit in vertical bands (GK · defence · midfield · attack) by their listed position — no
left/right placement is inferred. Order within a band is squad-sheet order, not a formation.
Pre-match model (Elo→Poisson, 90-min W/D/L)
🇦🇺 Australia 45.0% draw 26.5% 28.5% Egypt 🇪🇬
Model P(result)
26.5%
P of the observed 90-min outcome
Upset rank
#138
of 487 · −log₂ P
Upset index
1.92
−log₂ P(observed)
Australia's run W 🇹🇷 2–0 Turkey, Group L 🇺🇸 0–2 United States, Group D 🇵🇾 0–0 Paraguay, Group D 🇪🇬 1–1 Egypt, Round of 32 Egypt's run D 🇧🇪 1–1 Belgium, Group W 🇳🇿 3–1 New Zealand, Group D 🇮🇷 1–1 Iran, Group D 🇦🇺 1–1 Australia, Round of 32 L 🇦🇷 2–3 Argentina, Round of 16
Head-to-head at the World Cup No prior World Cup meetings.