🇦🇷 Argentina 3–2 Egypt 🇪🇬 2026 · live

2026 World Cup · Round of 16. Result scored against the Elo→Poisson model. tournament · tables

value €808M · value #7 · Elo #2

3–2Argentina win

value €116M · value #34 · Elo #34

Model P(result)

84.7%

model probability of the observed score

Upset index

0.24

−log₂ P(observed)

Elo gap

404

2151 vs 1747

Stage

Round of 16

2026 World Cup