🇪🇬 Egypt 3–1 New Zealand 🇳🇿 2026 · live

2026 World Cup · Group. Result scored against the Elo→Poisson model. tournament · tables

value €116M · value #34 · Elo #34

3–1Egypt win

value €34M · value #43 · Elo #43

Model P(result)

56.0%

model probability of the observed score

Upset index

0.84

−log₂ P(observed)

Elo gap

133

1711 vs 1578

Stage

Group

2026 World Cup