🇪🇬 Egypt 1–1 Iran 🇮🇷 2026 · live

2026 World Cup · Group. Result scored against the Elo→Poisson model. tournament · tables

value €116M · value #34 · Elo #34

1–1draw

value €32M · value #44 · Elo #27

Model P(result)

26.9%

model probability of the observed score

Upset index

1.89

−log₂ P(observed)

Elo gap

1740 vs 1766

Stage

Group

2026 World Cup