🇧🇪 Belgium 1–1 Egypt 🇪🇬 2026 · live

2026 World Cup · Group. Result scored against the Elo→Poisson model. tournament · tables

value €548M · value #10 · Elo #15

1–1draw

value €116M · value #34 · Elo #34

Model P(result)

21.9%

model probability of the observed score

Upset index

2.19

−log₂ P(observed)

Elo gap

198

1894 vs 1696

Stage

Group

2026 World Cup