🇪🇸 Spain 3–1 Paraguay 🇵🇾

2002 World Cup · Group. Result scored against the Elo→Poisson model. tournament · tables

value €0M · value #27 · Elo #5

3–1Spain win

value €0M · value #17 · Elo #26

Model P(result)

72.3%

model probability of the observed score

Upset index

0.47

−log₂ P(observed)

Elo gap

261

1983 vs 1722

Stage

Group

2002 World Cup