🇧🇷 Brazil 2–1 Turkey 🇹🇷

2002 World Cup · Group. Result scored against the Elo→Poisson model. tournament · tables

value €0M · value #3 · Elo #10

2–1Brazil win

value €0M · value #30 · Elo #21

Model P(result)

52.7%

model probability of the observed score

Upset index

0.92

−log₂ P(observed)

Elo gap

110

1867 vs 1757

Stage

Group

2002 World Cup