🇧🇪 Belgium 3–2 Japan 🇯🇵
2018 World Cup · Round of 16. tournament · tables
🇧🇪 Belgium value €754M · value #6 · Elo #8
Kevin De Bruyne €150M Eden Hazard €110M Romelu Lukaku €90M 3–2 Belgium win
🇯🇵 Japan value €73M · value #25 · Elo #26
Shinji Kagawa €13M Maya Yoshida €7M Shinji Okazaki €6M Goals
Belgium ▲ Japan ▼ 0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90' 105' 120' Jan Vertonghen 69' 69 Vertonghen Marouane Fellaini 74' 74 Fellaini Nacer Chadli 90+4' 94 Chadli Genki Haraguchi 48' 48 Haraguchi Takashi Inui 52' 52 Inui
Starting line-ups
List Pitch
🇧🇪 Belgium
Thibaut Courtois · GK 1 Courtois Toby Alderweireld · CB 2 Alderweireld Vincent Kompany · CB 4 Kompany Jan Vertonghen · CB 5 Vertonghen Eden Hazard · LF 10 Hazard Yannick Carrasco · LM 11 Carrasco Dries Mertens · RF 14 Mertens Thomas Meunier · RM 15 Meunier Axel Witsel · CM 6 Witsel Kevin De Bruyne · CM 7 Bruyne Romelu Lukaku · CF 9 Lukaku 🇯🇵 Japan
Eiji Kawashima · GK 1 Kawashima Hiroki Sakai · RB 19 Sakai Maya Yoshida · CB 22 Yoshida Gen Shoji · CB 3 Shoji Yuto Nagatomo · LB 5 Nagatomo Shinji Kagawa · AM 10 Kagawa Makoto Hasebe · CM 17 Hasebe Gaku Shibasaki · CM 7 Shibasaki Takashi Inui · LW 14 Inui Yuya Osako · CF 15 Osako Genki Haraguchi · RW 8 Haraguchi Players sit in vertical bands (GK · defence · midfield · attack) by their listed position — no
left/right placement is inferred. Order within a band is squad-sheet order, not a formation.
Pre-match model (Elo→Poisson, 90-min W/D/L)
🇧🇪 Belgium 75.4% draw 17.7% 6.9% Japan 🇯🇵
Model P(result)
75.4%
P of the observed 90-min outcome
Upset rank
#425
of 487 · −log₂ P
Upset index
0.41
−log₂ P(observed)
Belgium's run W 🇵🇦 3–0 Panama, Group W 🇹🇳 5–2 Tunisia, Group W 🏴 1–0 England, Group W 🇯🇵 3–2 Japan, Round of 16 W 🇧🇷 2–1 Brazil, Quarter-final L 🇫🇷 0–1 France, Semi-final W 🏴 2–0 England, Third place Japan's run W 🇨🇴 2–1 Colombia, Group D 🇸🇳 2–2 Senegal, Group L 🇵🇱 0–1 Poland, Group L 🇧🇪 2–3 Belgium, Round of 16
Head-to-head at the World Cup