🇧🇪 Belgium 5–2 Tunisia 🇹🇳
2018 World Cup · Group. tournament · tables
🇧🇪 Belgium value €754M · value #6 · Elo #8
Kevin De Bruyne €150M Eden Hazard €110M Romelu Lukaku €90M 5–2 Belgium win
🇹🇳 Tunisia value €59M · value #26 · Elo #30
Wahbi Khazri €10M Ellyes Skhiri €10M Naïm Sliti €7M Goals
Belgium ▲ Tunisia ▼ 0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90' 105' 120' Eden Hazard 6' (pen) 6 Hazard Romelu Lukaku 16' 16 Lukaku Romelu Lukaku 45+3' 48 Lukaku Eden Hazard 51' (pen) 51 Hazard Michy Batshuayi 90' 90 Batshuayi Dylan Bronn 18' 18 Bronn Wahbi Khazri 90+3' 93 Khazri
Starting line-ups
List Pitch
🇧🇪 Belgium
Thibaut Courtois · GK 1 Courtois Toby Alderweireld · CB 2 Alderweireld Dedryck Boyata · CB 20 Boyata Jan Vertonghen · CB 5 Vertonghen Eden Hazard · LF 10 Hazard Yannick Carrasco · LM 11 Carrasco Dries Mertens · RF 14 Mertens Thomas Meunier · RM 15 Meunier Axel Witsel · CM 6 Witsel Kevin De Bruyne · CM 7 Bruyne Romelu Lukaku · CF 9 Lukaku 🇹🇳 Tunisia
Farouk Ben Mustapha · GK 1 Mustapha Dylan Bronn · RB 11 Bronn Ali Maâloul · LB 12 Maâloul Syam Ben Youssef · CB 2 Youssef Yassine Meriah · CB 4 Meriah Ferjani Sassi · CM 13 Sassi Ellyes Skhiri · CM 17 Skhiri Saîf-Eddine Khaoui · CM 7 Khaoui Fakhreddine Ben Youssef · RF 8 Youssef Anice Badri · LF 9 Badri Wahbi Khazri · CF 10 Khazri Players sit in vertical bands (GK · defence · midfield · attack) by their listed position — no
left/right placement is inferred. Order within a band is squad-sheet order, not a formation.
Pre-match model (Elo→Poisson, 90-min W/D/L)
🇧🇪 Belgium 77.3% draw 16.8% 5.9% Tunisia 🇹🇳
Model P(result)
77.3%
P of the observed 90-min outcome
Upset rank
#434
of 487 · −log₂ P
Upset index
0.37
−log₂ P(observed)
Belgium's run W 🇵🇦 3–0 Panama, Group W 🇹🇳 5–2 Tunisia, Group W 🏴 1–0 England, Group W 🇯🇵 3–2 Japan, Round of 16 W 🇧🇷 2–1 Brazil, Quarter-final L 🇫🇷 0–1 France, Semi-final W 🏴 2–0 England, Third place Tunisia's run L 🏴 1–2 England, Group L 🇧🇪 2–5 Belgium, Group W 🇵🇦 2–1 Panama, Group
Head-to-head at the World Cup