🇧🇪 Belgium 5–2 Tunisia 🇹🇳

2018 World Cup · Group. Result scored against the Elo→Poisson model. tournament · tables

value €754M · value #6 · Elo #8

5–2Belgium win

value €59M · value #26 · Elo #30

Model P(result)

77.3%

model probability of the observed score

Upset index

0.37

−log₂ P(observed)

Elo gap

311

1953 vs 1642

Stage

Group

2018 World Cup