🇦🇺 Australia 3–1 Japan 🇯🇵

2006 World Cup · Group. Result scored against the Elo→Poisson model. tournament · tables

value €58M · value #19 · Elo #19

3–1Australia win

value €43M · value #21 · Elo #21

Model P(result)

37.8%

model probability of the observed score

Upset index

1.40

−log₂ P(observed)

Elo gap

1798 vs 1789

Stage

Group

2006 World Cup