🇦🇺 Australia 3–1 Japan 🇯🇵

2006 World Cup · Group. tournament · tables

🇦🇺 Australia
value €58M · value #19 · Elo #19
  • Tim Cahill €8M
  • Harry Kewell €6M
  • Mark Viduka €6M
3–1Australia win
🇯🇵 Japan
value €43M · value #21 · Elo #21
  • Shunsuke Nakamura €6M
  • Shinji Ono €4M
  • Hidetoshi Nakata €4M
Goals
Australia ▲Japan ▼0'15'30'45'60'75'90'105'120'Tim Cahill 84'84CahillTim Cahill 89'89CahillJohn Aloisi 90+2'92AloisiShunsuke Nakamura 26'26Nakamura
🇦🇺 Australia
🇯🇵 Japan
Starting line-ups
Pre-match model (Elo→Poisson, 90-min W/D/L)
🇦🇺 Australia 37.8%draw 27.0%35.2% Japan 🇯🇵
Model P(result)
37.8%
P of the observed 90-min outcome
Upset rank
#206
of 487 · −log₂ P
Upset index
1.40
−log₂ P(observed)
Elo gap
9
1798 vs 1789

Australia's run

  • W 🇯🇵 3–1 Japan, Group
  • L 🇧🇷 0–2 Brazil, Group
  • D 🇭🇷 2–2 Croatia, Group
  • L 🇮🇹 0–1 Italy, Round of 16

Japan's run

  • L 🇦🇺 1–3 Australia, Group
  • D 🇭🇷 0–0 Croatia, Group
  • L 🇧🇷 1–4 Brazil, Group

Head-to-head at the World Cup

  • No prior World Cup meetings.