🇮🇹 Italy 1–0 Australia 🇦🇺
2006 World Cup · Round of 16. tournament · tables
🇮🇹 Italy value €378M · value #1 · Elo #7
Francesco Totti €37M Gianluigi Buffon €30M Alessandro Nesta €29M 1–0 Italy win
🇦🇺 Australia value €58M · value #19 · Elo #19
Tim Cahill €8M Harry Kewell €6M Mark Viduka €6M Goals
Italy ▲ Australia ▼ 0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90' 105' 120' Francesco Totti 90+5' (pen) 95 Totti
Starting line-ups
List Pitch
🇮🇹 Italy
Gianluigi Buffon · GK 1 Buffon Gianluca Zambrotta · RB 19 Zambrotta Marco Materazzi · CB 23 Materazzi Fabio Grosso · LB 3 Grosso Fabio Cannavaro · CB 5 Cannavaro Simone Perrotta · RM 20 Perrotta Andrea Pirlo · CM 21 Pirlo Alessandro Del Piero · AM 7 Piero Gennaro Gattuso · LM 8 Gattuso Alberto Gilardino · CF 11 Gilardino Luca Toni · CF 9 Toni 🇦🇺 Australia
Mark Schwarzer · GK 1 Schwarzer Scott Chipperfield · CB 14 Chipperfield Lucas Neill · CB 2 Neill Craig Moore · CB 3 Moore Vince Grella · CM 13 Grella Luke Wilkshire · LM 20 Wilkshire Tim Cahill · AM 4 Cahill Jason Culina · RM 5 Culina Mile Sterjovski · RW 21 Sterjovski Mark Bresciano · LW 23 Bresciano Mark Viduka · CF 9 Viduka Players sit in vertical bands (GK · defence · midfield · attack) by their listed position — no
left/right placement is inferred. Order within a band is squad-sheet order, not a formation.
Pre-match model (Elo→Poisson, 90-min W/D/L)
🇮🇹 Italy 60.3% draw 23.4% 16.3% Australia 🇦🇺
Model P(result)
60.3%
P of the observed 90-min outcome
Upset rank
#331
of 487 · −log₂ P
Upset index
0.73
−log₂ P(observed)
Italy's run W 🇬🇭 2–0 Ghana, Group D 🇺🇸 1–1 United States, Group W 🇨🇿 2–0 Czech Republic, Group W 🇦🇺 1–0 Australia, Round of 16 W 🇺🇦 3–0 Ukraine, Quarter-final W 🇩🇪 2–0 Germany, Semi-final D 🇫🇷 1–1 France, Final Australia's run W 🇯🇵 3–1 Japan, Group L 🇧🇷 0–2 Brazil, Group D 🇭🇷 2–2 Croatia, Group L 🇮🇹 0–1 Italy, Round of 16
Head-to-head at the World Cup No prior World Cup meetings.