🇧🇷 Brazil 4–1 Japan 🇯🇵

2006 World Cup · Group. Result scored against the Elo→Poisson model. tournament · tables

value €365M · value #2 · Elo #1

4–1Brazil win

value €43M · value #21 · Elo #21

Model P(result)

78.1%

model probability of the observed score

Upset index

0.36

−log₂ P(observed)

Elo gap

319

2071 vs 1752

Stage

Group

2006 World Cup