🇧🇷 Brazil 2–0 Australia 🇦🇺

2006 World Cup · Group. Result scored against the Elo→Poisson model. tournament · tables

value €365M · value #2 · Elo #1

2–0Brazil win

value €58M · value #19 · Elo #19

Model P(result)

66.1%

model probability of the observed score

Upset index

0.60

−log₂ P(observed)

Elo gap

208

2050 vs 1842

Stage

Group

2006 World Cup