🇭🇷 Croatia 0–0 Japan 🇯🇵

2006 World Cup · Group. Result scored against the Elo→Poisson model. tournament · tables

value €94M · value #14 · Elo #14

0–0draw

value €43M · value #21 · Elo #21

Model P(result)

26.1%

model probability of the observed score

Upset index

1.94

−log₂ P(observed)

Elo gap

1822 vs 1745

Stage

Group

2006 World Cup