🇦🇺 Australia 2–2 Croatia 🇭🇷

2006 World Cup · Group. Result scored against the Elo→Poisson model. tournament · tables

value €58M · value #19 · Elo #19

2–2draw

value €94M · value #14 · Elo #14

Model P(result)

27.0%

model probability of the observed score

Upset index

1.89

−log₂ P(observed)

Elo gap

1821 vs 1815

Stage

Group

2006 World Cup