🇦🇷 Argentina 3–1 Mexico 🇲🇽
2010 World Cup · Round of 16. tournament · tables
🇦🇷 Argentina value €347M · value #5 · Elo #7
Lionel Messi €80M Sergio Agüero €36M Gonzalo Higuaín €32M 3–1 Argentina win
🇲🇽 Mexico value €88M · value #16 · Elo #8
Andrés Guardado €12M Rafael Márquez €9M Guillermo Ochoa €8M Goals
Argentina ▲ Mexico ▼ 0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90' Carlos Tevez 26' 26 Tevez Gonzalo Higuaín 33' 33 Higuaín Carlos Tevez 52' 52 Tevez Javier Hernández 71' 71 Hernández
Starting line-ups
List Pitch
🇦🇷 Argentina
Sergio Romero · GK 22 Romero Nicolás Otamendi · RB 15 Otamendi Martín Demichelis · CB 2 Demichelis Nicolás Burdisso · CB 4 Burdisso Gabriel Heinze · LB 6 Heinze Lionel Messi · AM 10 Messi Javier Mascherano · DM 14 Mascherano Maxi Rodríguez · RM 20 Rodríguez Ángel Di María · LM 7 María Carlos Tevez · CF 11 Tevez Gonzalo Higuaín · CF 9 Higuaín 🇲🇽 Mexico
Óscar Pérez · GK 1 Pérez Francisco Javier Rodríguez · CB 2 Rodríguez Carlos Salcido · LB 3 Salcido Rafael Márquez · CB 4 Márquez Ricardo Osorio · RB 5 Osorio Efraín Juárez · RM 16 Juárez Giovani dos Santos · AM 17 Santos Andrés Guardado · LM 18 Guardado Adolfo Bautista · AM 21 Bautista Gerardo Torrado · CM 6 Torrado Javier Hernández · CF 14 Hernández Players sit in vertical bands (GK · defence · midfield · attack) by their listed position — no
left/right placement is inferred. Order within a band is squad-sheet order, not a formation.
Pre-match model (Elo→Poisson, 90-min W/D/L)
🇦🇷 Argentina 50.8% draw 25.6% 23.6% Mexico 🇲🇽
Model P(result)
50.8%
P of the observed 90-min outcome
Upset rank
#271
of 487 · −log₂ P
Upset index
0.98
−log₂ P(observed)
Argentina's run W 🇳🇬 1–0 Nigeria, Group W 🇰🇷 4–1 South Korea, Group W 🇬🇷 2–0 Greece, Group W 🇲🇽 3–1 Mexico, Round of 16 L 🇩🇪 0–4 Germany, Quarter-final Mexico's run D 🇿🇦 1–1 South Africa, Group W 🇫🇷 2–0 France, Group L 🇺🇾 0–1 Uruguay, Group L 🇦🇷 1–3 Argentina, Round of 16
Head-to-head at the World Cup