🇦🇷 Argentina 2–0 Mexico 🇲🇽

2022 World Cup · Group. Result scored against the Elo→Poisson model. tournament · tables

value €645M · value #7 · Elo #2

2–0Argentina win

value €176M · value #21 · Elo #17

Model P(result)

74.1%

model probability of the observed score

Upset index

0.43

−log₂ P(observed)

Elo gap

278

2086 vs 1808

Stage

Group

2022 World Cup