🇦🇷 Argentina 3–2 Nigeria 🇳🇬
2014 World Cup · Group. tournament · tables
🇦🇷 Argentina value €392M · value #4 · Elo #4
Lionel Messi €120M Sergio Agüero €45M Gonzalo Higuaín €38M 3–2 Argentina win
🇳🇬 Nigeria value €84M · value #23 · Elo #24
John Obi Mikel €20M Emmanuel Emenike €14M Ahmed Musa €12M Goals
Argentina ▲ Nigeria ▼ 0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90' Lionel Messi 3' 3 Messi Lionel Messi 45+1' 46 Messi Marcos Rojo 50' 50 Rojo Ahmed Musa 4' 4 Musa Ahmed Musa 47' 47 Musa
Starting line-ups
List Pitch
🇦🇷 Argentina
Sergio Romero · GK 1 Romero Marcos Rojo · LB 16 Rojo Federico Fernández · CB 17 Fernández Ezequiel Garay · CB 2 Garay Pablo Zabaleta · RB 4 Zabaleta Lionel Messi · AM 10 Messi Javier Mascherano · DM 14 Mascherano Fernando Gago · RM 5 Gago Ángel Di María · LM 7 María Sergio Agüero · CF 20 Agüero Gonzalo Higuaín · CF 9 Higuaín 🇳🇬 Nigeria
Vincent Enyeama · GK 1 Enyeama Juwon Oshaniwa · CB 13 Oshaniwa Joseph Yobo · CB 2 Yobo Kenneth Omeruo · LB 22 Omeruo Efe Ambrose · RB 5 Ambrose John Obi Mikel · CM 10 Mikel Ogenyi Onazi · CM 17 Onazi Michel Babatunde · LW 18 Babatunde Ahmed Musa · RW 7 Musa Peter Odemwingie · SS 8 Odemwingie Emmanuel Emenike · CF 9 Emenike Players sit in vertical bands (GK · defence · midfield · attack) by their listed position — no
left/right placement is inferred. Order within a band is squad-sheet order, not a formation.
Pre-match model (Elo→Poisson, 90-min W/D/L)
🇦🇷 Argentina 74.0% draw 18.3% 7.7% Nigeria 🇳🇬
Model P(result)
74.1%
P of the observed 90-min outcome
Upset rank
#418
of 487 · −log₂ P
Upset index
0.43
−log₂ P(observed)
Argentina's run W 🇧🇦 2–1 Bosnia and Herzegovina, Group W 🇮🇷 1–0 Iran, Group W 🇳🇬 3–2 Nigeria, Group W 🇨🇭 1–0 Switzerland, Round of 16 W 🇧🇪 1–0 Belgium, Quarter-final D 🇳🇱 0–0 Netherlands, Semi-final L 🇩🇪 0–1 Germany, Final Nigeria's run D 🇮🇷 0–0 Iran, Group W 🇧🇦 1–0 Bosnia and Herzegovina, Group L 🇦🇷 2–3 Argentina, Group L 🇫🇷 0–2 France, Round of 16
Head-to-head at the World Cup