🇦🇷 Argentina 3–2 Nigeria 🇳🇬

2014 World Cup · Group. Result scored against the Elo→Poisson model. tournament · tables

value €392M · value #4 · Elo #4

3–2Argentina win

value €84M · value #23 · Elo #24

Model P(result)

74.1%

model probability of the observed score

Upset index

0.43

−log₂ P(observed)

Elo gap

278

2038 vs 1760

Stage

Group

2014 World Cup