🇵🇾 Paraguay 2–0 Slovakia 🇸🇰

2010 World Cup · Group. Result scored against the Elo→Poisson model. tournament · tables

value €71M · value #22 · Elo #18

2–0Paraguay win

value €80M · value #19 · Elo #28

Model P(result)

54.1%

model probability of the observed score

Upset index

0.89

−log₂ P(observed)

Elo gap

120

1778 vs 1658

Stage

Group

2010 World Cup