🇿🇦 South Africa 2–1 France 🇫🇷

2010 World Cup · Group. Result scored against the Elo→Poisson model. tournament · tables

value €24M · value #30 · Elo #29

2–1South Africa win

value €368M · value #3 · Elo #11

Model P(result)

9.9%

model probability of the observed score

Upset index

3.33

−log₂ P(observed)

Elo gap

242

1576 vs 1818

Stage

Group

2010 World Cup