🇿🇦 South Africa 1–1 Mexico 🇲🇽
2010 World Cup · Group. tournament · tables
🇿🇦 South Africa value €24M · value #30 · Elo #29
Steven Pienaar €8M MacBeth Sibaya €3M Aaron Mokoena €2M 1–1 draw
🇲🇽 Mexico value €88M · value #16 · Elo #8
Andrés Guardado €12M Rafael Márquez €9M Guillermo Ochoa €8M Goals
South Africa ▲ Mexico ▼ 0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90' Siphiwe Tshabalala 55' 55 Tshabalala Rafael Márquez 79' 79 Márquez
Starting line-ups
List Pitch
🇿🇦 South Africa
Itumeleng Khune · GK 16 Khune Lucas Thwala · LB 15 Thwala Siboniso Gaxa · RB 2 Gaxa Bongani Khumalo · CB 20 Khumalo Aaron Mokoena · CB 4 Mokoena Teko Modise · LM 11 Modise Reneilwe Letsholonyane · CM 12 Letsholonyane Kagisho Dikgacoi · CM 13 Dikgacoi Siphiwe Tshabalala · RM 8 Tshabalala Steven Pienaar · SS 10 Pienaar Katlego Mphela · CF 9 Mphela 🇲🇽 Mexico
Óscar Pérez · GK 1 Pérez Paul Aguilar · RB 12 Aguilar Francisco Javier Rodríguez · CB 2 Rodríguez Carlos Salcido · LB 3 Salcido Ricardo Osorio · CB 5 Osorio Efraín Juárez · CM 16 Juárez Rafael Márquez · DM 4 Márquez Gerardo Torrado · CM 6 Torrado Carlos Vela · LW 11 Vela Giovani dos Santos · RW 17 Santos Guillermo Franco · CF 9 Franco Players sit in vertical bands (GK · defence · midfield · attack) by their listed position — no
left/right placement is inferred. Order within a band is squad-sheet order, not a formation.
Pre-match model (Elo→Poisson, 90-min W/D/L)
🇿🇦 South Africa 6.2% draw 17.0% 76.8% Mexico 🇲🇽
Model P(result)
17.0%
P of the observed 90-min outcome
Upset rank
#42
of 487 · −log₂ P
Upset index
2.55
−log₂ P(observed)
South Africa's run D 🇲🇽 1–1 Mexico, Group L 🇺🇾 0–3 Uruguay, Group W 🇫🇷 2–1 France, Group Mexico's run D 🇿🇦 1–1 South Africa, Group W 🇫🇷 2–0 France, Group L 🇺🇾 0–1 Uruguay, Group L 🇦🇷 1–3 Argentina, Round of 16
Head-to-head at the World Cup