🇿🇦 South Africa 0–3 Uruguay 🇺🇾

2010 World Cup · Group. Result scored against the Elo→Poisson model. tournament · tables

value €24M · value #30 · Elo #29

0–3Uruguay win

value €130M · value #13 · Elo #12

Model P(result)

69.6%

model probability of the observed score

Upset index

0.52

−log₂ P(observed)

Elo gap

237

1609 vs 1846

Stage

Group

2010 World Cup