🇲🇽 Mexico 2–0 France 🇫🇷

2010 World Cup · Group. Result scored against the Elo→Poisson model. tournament · tables

value €88M · value #16 · Elo #8

2–0Mexico win

value €368M · value #3 · Elo #11

Model P(result)

39.7%

model probability of the observed score

Upset index

1.33

−log₂ P(observed)

Elo gap

1882 vs 1860

Stage

Group

2010 World Cup