🏴󠁧󠁢󠁥󠁮󠁧󠁿 England 1–1 United States 🇺🇸

2010 World Cup · Group. Result scored against the Elo→Poisson model. tournament · tables

value €448M · value #2 · Elo #4

1–1draw

value €58M · value #25 · Elo #14

Model P(result)

21.1%

model probability of the observed score

Upset index

2.24

−log₂ P(observed)

Elo gap

216

2001 vs 1785

Stage

Group

2010 World Cup