🇨🇱 Chile 3–1 Australia 🇦🇺

2014 World Cup · Group. Result scored against the Elo→Poisson model. tournament · tables

value €139M · value #16 · Elo #9

3–1Chile win

value €21M · value #31 · Elo #27

Model P(result)

66.5%

model probability of the observed score

Upset index

0.59

−log₂ P(observed)

Elo gap

212

1920 vs 1708

Stage

Group

2014 World Cup