🇪🇸 Spain 3–0 Australia 🇦🇺

2014 World Cup · Group. Result scored against the Elo→Poisson model. tournament · tables

value €622M · value #1 · Elo #2

3–0Spain win

value €21M · value #31 · Elo #27

Model P(result)

75.7%

model probability of the observed score

Upset index

0.40

−log₂ P(observed)

Elo gap

294

1975 vs 1681

Stage

Group

2014 World Cup