🇳🇱 Netherlands 2–0 Chile 🇨🇱

2014 World Cup · Group. Result scored against the Elo→Poisson model. tournament · tables

value €208M · value #11 · Elo #5

2–0Netherlands win

value €139M · value #16 · Elo #9

Model P(result)

46.5%

model probability of the observed score

Upset index

1.10

−log₂ P(observed)

Elo gap

2066 vs 1998

Stage

Group

2014 World Cup