🇨🇱 Chile 2–0 Spain 🇪🇸

2014 World Cup · Group. Result scored against the Elo→Poisson model. tournament · tables

value €139M · value #16 · Elo #9

2–0Chile win

value €622M · value #1 · Elo #2

Model P(result)

24.3%

model probability of the observed score

Upset index

2.04

−log₂ P(observed)

Elo gap

1941 vs 2032

Stage

Group

2014 World Cup