🇳🇱 Netherlands 3–2 Australia 🇦🇺

2014 World Cup · Group. Result scored against the Elo→Poisson model. tournament · tables

value €208M · value #11 · Elo #5

3–2Netherlands win

value €21M · value #31 · Elo #27

Model P(result)

82.5%

model probability of the observed score

Upset index

0.28

−log₂ P(observed)

Elo gap

373

2060 vs 1687

Stage

Group

2014 World Cup