🇧🇷 Brazil 1–1 Chile 🇨🇱

2014 World Cup · Round of 16. Result scored against the Elo→Poisson model. tournament · tables

value €468M · value #3 · Elo #1

1–1draw

value €139M · value #16 · Elo #9

Model P(result)

23.5%

model probability of the observed score

Upset index

2.09

−log₂ P(observed)

Elo gap

160

2122 vs 1962

Stage

Round of 16

2014 World Cup