🇮🇷 Iran 0–0 Nigeria 🇳🇬

2014 World Cup · Group. Result scored against the Elo→Poisson model. tournament · tables

value €24M · value #30 · Elo #25

0–0draw

value €84M · value #23 · Elo #24

Model P(result)

27.0%

model probability of the observed score

Upset index

1.89

−log₂ P(observed)

Elo gap

1715 vs 1727

Stage

Group

2014 World Cup