🇦🇷 Argentina 1–0 Iran 🇮🇷

2014 World Cup · Group. Result scored against the Elo→Poisson model. tournament · tables

value €392M · value #4 · Elo #4

1–0Argentina win

value €24M · value #30 · Elo #25

Model P(result)

77.6%

model probability of the observed score

Upset index

0.37

−log₂ P(observed)

Elo gap

314

2030 vs 1716

Stage

Group

2014 World Cup