🇳🇬 Nigeria 1–0 Bosnia and Herzegovina 🇧🇦

2014 World Cup · Group. Result scored against the Elo→Poisson model. tournament · tables

value €84M · value #23 · Elo #24

1–0Nigeria win

value €115M · value #19 · Elo #21

Model P(result)

29.9%

model probability of the observed score

Upset index

1.74

−log₂ P(observed)

Elo gap

1726 vs 1773

Stage

Group

2014 World Cup