🇮🇹 Italy 2–1 England 🏴
2014 World Cup · Group. tournament · tables
🇮🇹 Italy value €323M · value #8 · Elo #12
Mario Balotelli €30M Claudio Marchisio €28M Giorgio Chiellini €24M 2–1 Italy win
🏴 England value €334M · value #7 · Elo #7
Wayne Rooney €45M Jack Wilshere €33M Leighton Baines €20M Goals
Italy ▲ England ▼ 0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90' Claudio Marchisio 35' 35 Marchisio Mario Balotelli 50' 50 Balotelli Daniel Sturridge 37' 37 Sturridge
Starting line-ups
List Pitch
🇮🇹 Italy
Salvatore Sirigu · GK 12 Sirigu Andrea Barzagli · CB 15 Barzagli Gabriel Paletta · CB 20 Paletta Giorgio Chiellini · LB 3 Chiellini Matteo Darmian · RB 4 Darmian Daniele De Rossi · CM 16 Rossi Andrea Pirlo · AM 21 Pirlo Marco Verratti · LM 23 Verratti Claudio Marchisio · RM 8 Marchisio Antonio Candreva · SS 6 Candreva Mario Balotelli · CF 9 Balotelli 🏴 England
Joe Hart · GK 1 Hart Glen Johnson · RB 2 Johnson Leighton Baines · LB 3 Baines Gary Cahill · CB 5 Cahill Phil Jagielka · CB 6 Jagielka Jordan Henderson · CM 14 Henderson Raheem Sterling · AM 19 Sterling Steven Gerrard · CM 4 Gerrard Wayne Rooney · LW 10 Rooney Danny Welbeck · RW 11 Welbeck Daniel Sturridge · CF 9 Sturridge Players sit in vertical bands (GK · defence · midfield · attack) by their listed position — no
left/right placement is inferred. Order within a band is squad-sheet order, not a formation.
Pre-match model (Elo→Poisson, 90-min W/D/L)
🇮🇹 Italy 30.3% draw 26.7% 43.0% England 🏴
Model P(result)
30.3%
P of the observed 90-min outcome
Upset rank
#182
of 487 · −log₂ P
Upset index
1.72
−log₂ P(observed)
Italy's run W 🏴 2–1 England, Group L 🇨🇷 0–1 Costa Rica, Group L 🇺🇾 0–1 Uruguay, Group England's run L 🇮🇹 1–2 Italy, Group L 🇺🇾 1–2 Uruguay, Group D 🇨🇷 0–0 Costa Rica, Group
Head-to-head at the World Cup No prior World Cup meetings.