🇺🇾 Uruguay 1–0 Italy 🇮🇹

2014 World Cup · Group. Result scored against the Elo→Poisson model. tournament · tables

value €218M · value #10 · Elo #10

1–0Uruguay win

value €323M · value #8 · Elo #12

Model P(result)

37.1%

model probability of the observed score

Upset index

1.43

−log₂ P(observed)

Elo gap

1883 vs 1879

Stage

Group

2014 World Cup