🇦🇷 Argentina 2–1 Bosnia and Herzegovina 🇧🇦

2014 World Cup · Group. Result scored against the Elo→Poisson model. tournament · tables

value €392M · value #4 · Elo #4

2–1Argentina win

value €115M · value #19 · Elo #21

Model P(result)

69.1%

model probability of the observed score

Upset index

0.53

−log₂ P(observed)

Elo gap

233

2018 vs 1785

Stage

Group

2014 World Cup