🇭🇷 Croatia 3–0 Argentina 🇦🇷

2018 World Cup · Group. Result scored against the Elo→Poisson model. tournament · tables

value €364M · value #10 · Elo #14

3–0Croatia win

value €699M · value #7 · Elo #5

Model P(result)

24.4%

model probability of the observed score

Upset index

2.03

−log₂ P(observed)

Elo gap

1877 vs 1967

Stage

Group

2018 World Cup