🇭🇷 Croatia 3–0 Argentina 🇦🇷
2018 World Cup · Group. tournament · tables
🇭🇷 Croatia value €364M · value #10 · Elo #14
Ivan Rakitić €50M Ivan Perišić €40M Mateo Kovačić €30M 3–0 Croatia win
🇦🇷 Argentina value €699M · value #7 · Elo #5
Lionel Messi €180M Paulo Dybala €110M Sergio Agüero €80M Goals
Croatia ▲ Argentina ▼ 0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90' 105' 120' Ante Rebić 53' 53 Rebić Luka Modrić 80' 80 Modrić Ivan Rakitić 90+1' 91 Rakitić
Starting line-ups
List Pitch
🇭🇷 Croatia
Danijel Subašić · GK 23 Subašić Šime Vrsaljko · RB 2 Vrsaljko Domagoj Vida · CB 21 Vida Ivan Strinić · LB 3 Strinić Dejan Lovren · CB 6 Lovren Luka Modrić · AM 10 Modrić Marcelo Brozović · CM 11 Brozović Ivan Rakitić · CM 7 Rakitić Mario Mandžukić · CF 17 Mandžukić Ante Rebić · RW 18 Rebić Ivan Perišić · LW 4 Perišić 🇦🇷 Argentina
Willy Caballero · GK 23 Caballero Nicolás Otamendi · CB 17 Otamendi Gabriel Mercado · CB 2 Mercado Nicolás Tagliafico · CB 3 Tagliafico Lionel Messi · RF 10 Messi Maximiliano Meza · LF 13 Meza Javier Mascherano · CM 14 Mascherano Enzo Pérez · CM 15 Pérez Eduardo Salvio · RM 18 Salvio Marcos Acuña · LM 8 Acuña Sergio Agüero · CF 19 Agüero Players sit in vertical bands (GK · defence · midfield · attack) by their listed position — no
left/right placement is inferred. Order within a band is squad-sheet order, not a formation.
Pre-match model (Elo→Poisson, 90-min W/D/L)
🇭🇷 Croatia 24.4% draw 25.8% 49.8% Argentina 🇦🇷
Model P(result)
24.4%
P of the observed 90-min outcome
Upset rank
#110
of 487 · −log₂ P
Upset index
2.03
−log₂ P(observed)
Croatia's run W 🇳🇬 2–0 Nigeria, Group W 🇦🇷 3–0 Argentina, Group W 🇮🇸 2–1 Iceland, Group D 🇩🇰 1–1 Denmark, Round of 16 D 🇷🇺 2–2 Russia, Quarter-final W 🏴 2–1 England, Semi-final L 🇫🇷 2–4 France, Final Argentina's run D 🇮🇸 1–1 Iceland, Group L 🇭🇷 0–3 Croatia, Group W 🇳🇬 2–1 Nigeria, Group L 🇫🇷 3–4 France, Round of 16
Head-to-head at the World Cup