🇵🇱 Poland 1–0 Japan 🇯🇵

2018 World Cup · Group. Result scored against the Elo→Poisson model. tournament · tables

value €275M · value #13 · Elo #16

1–0Poland win

value €73M · value #25 · Elo #26

Model P(result)

39.0%

model probability of the observed score

Upset index

1.36

−log₂ P(observed)

Elo gap

1753 vs 1736

Stage

Group

2018 World Cup