🇵🇱 Poland 1–0 Japan 🇯🇵
2018 World Cup · Group. tournament · tables
🇵🇱 Poland value €275M · value #13 · Elo #16
Robert Lewandowski €90M Piotr Zieliński €32M Wojciech Szczęsny €20M 1–0 Poland win
🇯🇵 Japan value €73M · value #25 · Elo #26
Shinji Kagawa €13M Maya Yoshida €7M Shinji Okazaki €6M Goals
Poland ▲ Japan ▼ 0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90' Jan Bednarek 59' 59 Bednarek
Starting line-ups
List Pitch
🇵🇱 Poland
Łukasz Fabiański · GK 22 Fabiański Kamil Glik · CB 15 Glik Bartosz Bereszyński · CB 18 Bereszyński Jan Bednarek · CB 5 Bednarek Grzegorz Krychowiak · CM 10 Krychowiak Kamil Grosicki · LF 11 Grosicki Piotr Zieliński · RF 19 Zieliński Rafał Kurzawa · RM 21 Kurzawa Artur Jędrzejczyk · LM 3 Jędrzejczyk Jacek Góralski · CM 6 Góralski Robert Lewandowski · CF 9 Lewandowski 🇯🇵 Japan
Eiji Kawashima · GK 1 Kawashima Hiroki Sakai · RB 19 Sakai Tomoaki Makino · CB 20 Makino Maya Yoshida · CB 22 Yoshida Yuto Nagatomo · LB 5 Nagatomo Hotaru Yamaguchi · CM 16 Yamaguchi Gaku Shibasaki · CM 7 Shibasaki Shinji Okazaki · AM 9 Okazaki Takashi Usami · LW 11 Usami Yoshinori Muto · CF 13 Muto Gōtoku Sakai · RW 21 Sakai Players sit in vertical bands (GK · defence · midfield · attack) by their listed position — no
left/right placement is inferred. Order within a band is squad-sheet order, not a formation.
Pre-match model (Elo→Poisson, 90-min W/D/L)
🇵🇱 Poland 38.9% draw 27.0% 34.1% Japan 🇯🇵
Model P(result)
39.0%
P of the observed 90-min outcome
Upset rank
#213
of 487 · −log₂ P
Upset index
1.36
−log₂ P(observed)
Poland's run L 🇸🇳 1–2 Senegal, Group L 🇨🇴 0–3 Colombia, Group W 🇯🇵 1–0 Japan, Group Japan's run W 🇨🇴 2–1 Colombia, Group D 🇸🇳 2–2 Senegal, Group L 🇵🇱 0–1 Poland, Group L 🇧🇪 2–3 Belgium, Round of 16
Head-to-head at the World Cup No prior World Cup meetings.