🇲🇽 Mexico 1–0 Germany 🇩🇪
2018 World Cup · Group. tournament · tables
🇲🇽 Mexico value €155M · value #19 · Elo #15
Hirving Lozano €25M Héctor Herrera €20M Javier Hernández €15M 1–0 Mexico win
🇩🇪 Germany value €883M · value #4 · Elo #2
Toni Kroos €80M Mats Hummels €60M Thomas Müller €60M Goals
Mexico ▲ Germany ▼ 0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90' Hirving Lozano 35' 35 Lozano
Starting line-ups
List Pitch
🇲🇽 Mexico
Guillermo Ochoa · GK 13 Ochoa Héctor Moreno · CB 15 Moreno Hugo Ayala · CB 2 Ayala Jesús Gallardo · LB 23 Gallardo Carlos Salcedo · RB 3 Salcedo Carlos Vela · AM 11 Vela Héctor Herrera · CM 16 Herrera Andrés Guardado · CM 18 Guardado Javier Hernández · CF 14 Hernández Hirving Lozano · LW 22 Lozano Miguel Layún · RW 7 Layún 🇩🇪 Germany
Manuel Neuer · GK 1 Neuer Jérôme Boateng · CB 17 Boateng Joshua Kimmich · RB 18 Kimmich Marvin Plattenhardt · LB 2 Plattenhardt Mats Hummels · CB 5 Hummels Mesut Özil · AM 10 Özil Sami Khedira · CM 6 Khedira Toni Kroos · CM 8 Kroos Thomas Müller · RW 13 Müller Julian Draxler · LW 7 Draxler Timo Werner · CF 9 Werner Players sit in vertical bands (GK · defence · midfield · attack) by their listed position — no
left/right placement is inferred. Order within a band is squad-sheet order, not a formation.
Pre-match model (Elo→Poisson, 90-min W/D/L)
🇲🇽 Mexico 11.0% draw 20.6% 68.4% Germany 🇩🇪
Model P(result)
11.0%
P of the observed 90-min outcome
Upset rank
#21
of 487 · −log₂ P
Upset index
3.19
−log₂ P(observed)
Mexico's run W 🇩🇪 1–0 Germany, Group W 🇰🇷 2–1 South Korea, Group L 🇸🇪 0–3 Sweden, Group L 🇧🇷 0–2 Brazil, Round of 16 Germany's run L 🇲🇽 0–1 Mexico, Group W 🇸🇪 2–1 Sweden, Group L 🇰🇷 0–2 South Korea, Group
Head-to-head at the World Cup No prior World Cup meetings.