🇸🇦 Saudi Arabia 2–1 Egypt 🇪🇬

2018 World Cup · Group. Result scored against the Elo→Poisson model. tournament · tables

value €19M · value #31 · Elo #32

2–1Saudi Arabia win

value €197M · value #17 · Elo #31

Model P(result)

29.1%

model probability of the observed score

Upset index

1.78

−log₂ P(observed)

Elo gap

1551 vs 1604

Stage

Group

2018 World Cup