🇸🇦 Saudi Arabia 2–1 Egypt 🇪🇬
2018 World Cup · Group. tournament · tables
🇸🇦 Saudi Arabia value €19M · value #31 · Elo #32
Yasser Al-Shahrani €2M Mohammed Al-Breik €1M Motaz Hawsawi €1M 2–1 Saudi Arabia win
🇪🇬 Egypt value €197M · value #17 · Elo #31
Mohamed Salah €150M Mohamed Elneny €10M Ramadan Sobhi €7M
Goals
Saudi Arabia ▲ Egypt ▼ 0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90' 105' 120' Salman Al-Faraj 45+6' (pen) 51 Al-Faraj Salem Al-Dawsari 90+5' 95 Al-Dawsari Mohamed Salah 22' 22 Salah
Starting line-ups
List Pitch
🇸🇦 Saudi Arabia
Yasser Al-Mosailem · GK 21 Al-Mosailem Yasser Al-Shahrani · LB 13 Al-Shahrani Motaz Hawsawi · CB 23 Hawsawi Osama Hawsawi · CB 3 Hawsawi Mohammed Al-Breik · RB 6 Al-Breik Abdullah Otayf · DM 14 Otayf Housain Al-Mogahwi · CM 16 Al-Mogahwi Salman Al-Faraj · CM 7 Al-Faraj Salem Al-Dawsari · LW 18 Al-Dawsari Fahad Al-Muwallad · CF 19 Al-Muwallad Hattan Bahebri · RW 9 Bahebri 🇪🇬 Egypt
Essam El Hadary · GK 1 Hadary Mohamed Abdel Shafy · LB 13 Shafy Ali Gabr · CB 2 Gabr Ahmed Hegazi · CB 6 Hegazi Ahmed Fathy · RB 7 Fathy Mohamed Elneny · CM 17 Elneny Abdallah Said · AM 19 Said Tarek Hamed · CM 8 Hamed Mohamed Salah · RW 10 Salah Trézéguet · LW 21 Trézéguet Marwan Mohsen · CF 9 Mohsen
Players sit in vertical bands (GK · defence · midfield · attack) by their listed position — no
left/right placement is inferred. Order within a band is squad-sheet order, not a formation.
Pre-match model (Elo→Poisson, 90-min W/D/L)
🇸🇦 Saudi Arabia 29.1% draw 26.6% 44.3% Egypt 🇪🇬
Model P(result)
29.1%
P of the observed 90-min outcome
Upset rank
#174
of 487 · −log₂ P
Upset index
1.78
−log₂ P(observed)
Saudi Arabia's run L 🇷🇺 0–5 Russia, Group L 🇺🇾 0–1 Uruguay, Group W 🇪🇬 2–1 Egypt, Group
Egypt's run L 🇺🇾 0–1 Uruguay, Group L 🇷🇺 1–3 Russia, Group L 🇸🇦 1–2 Saudi Arabia, Group
Head-to-head at the World Cup No prior World Cup meetings.